i recently saw an article on yahoo citing a "foreign affairs expert" saying that vlad the impaler is "inching towards his nuclear weapons"...possibly there are a couple of things amiss with that...first it was yahoo...and, secondly, there is a lot of opinion masquerading as fact in the academic/pundit/spook world ( the three do overlap )...lots of crackbrained weirdness among the pundits and think tanks...no one seems to be willing to take credit for the "domino theory" nonsense that was responsible for a policy of "containment" that cost 58,220 american lives and an estimated 1,239,000 vietnamese ones ( not to mention the maimed or those poisoned by say, agent orange )...so break out the grains of salt...if anyone knows what vlad is thinking it is probably vlad himself and who knows what his mental health is like...that said, he is from the spook world himself and has ( one supposes ) access to multiple nuclear weapons...it is may...and may ninth is the eighty-seventh anniversary of the end of the "great patirotic war" against the hitlerite invaders and one suspects vlad was planning no making a victoy speech in kiev that day...this seems unlikley at the moment...and, in the way of propagandists, the russians would seem to have announced that they will anounce a "mobilization" on ths ninth...given that human nature ( sorry social scientists, there is one...there are human universals ) likes to mark significant anniversaries with commemorations on the grand scale...then, whatever "mobilization" is, next monday could be a very ugly one anywhere you'd care to mane...or it may be "business as usual"...no one really knows...contingency everywhere.
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